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How will increased atmospheric CO2 and mammalian herbivory affect forest succession? Mohan, Jacqueline1, Schlesinger, William1, Clark, James1, 1 ABSTRACT- Forest diversity and productivity depend on species-specific responses to increasing atmospheric CO2 and mammalian herbivory. We examined growth and mortality of understory woody plants in response to elevated CO2 in both the presence and absence of mammalian herbivores. In a two-year study, Pinus taeda and Robinia pseudoaccacia growing in herbivore exclosures were the only tree species to show positive growth responses in both seasons to elevated CO2 (1999: RGR increase 32%, p=0.03 and 59%, p=0.03, respectively; 2000: 72%, p=0.08 and 646%, p=0.003). In the second year, various shade tolerant and intolerant species exhibited positive growth responses to CO2: Acer barbatum (RGR 57%, p=0.10), Acer rubrum (38%, p=0.05), Cercis canadensis (64%, p=0.04), Liquidambar styraciflua (50%, p=0.004), Pinus echinata (717%, p=0.04), Ulmus alata (24%, p=0.07), and Quercus phellos (50%, p=0.02). CO2 effects on mortality of protected plants were species-specific (p=0.01) and depended on the initial plant size (CO2-by-Year-by-Species-by-Initial Biomass interaction, p<0.0001). When available to mammalian herbivores, fewer species responded to CO2 but the percent increase in RGR of responsive plants was large, suggesting that increased CO2 may augment the ability to withstand herbivory. Future forest impacts of atmospheric CO2 may depend on the abundance of mammalian herbivores. KEY WORDS: Atmospheric CO2, Herbivory, Biodiversity, Global Change |