[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Introduction.

[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Pielke, Roger^*,1, Conant, Richard², ¹ University of Colorado, Boulder, CO² Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO Best practices in prediction for decision making: Lessons from the atmospheric and earth sciences.

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[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Ellner, Stephen¹, Fieberg, John^*,2, ¹ Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, spe2@cornell.edu² Northwest Indian Fisheries Commission, Olympia, WA, jfieberg@nwifc.wa.gov Using PVA for management in light of uncertainty: effects of habitat, hatcheries, and harvest on salmon viability.

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[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Clark, James^*,1, ¹ Duke University, Durham Uncertainty in population forecasting: the hierarchical approach.

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[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Barber, Jarrett^*,1, Lavine, Michael^1,2,3, ¹ Institute of Statistics and Decision Sciences, Durham, NC² Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences, Durham, NC³ University Program in Ecology, Durham, NC State space models for ecological time series.

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[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Break.

[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Keeling, Matt^*,1, Grenfell, Bryan², ¹ University of Warwick, Coventry, West Midlands, United Kingdom² University of Cambridge, Cambridge, Cambridgeshire, United Kingdom Dynamics and control of the 2001 UK Foot-and-Mouth epidemic.

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[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Wikle, Christopher^*,1, ¹ University of Missouri-Columbia, Columbia, Missouri Hierarchical Bayesian spatio-temporal models for predicting ecological processes.

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[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Carpenter, Stephen^*,1, Bennett, Elena¹, Brock, William², Lathrop, Richard^1,3, Ludwig, Donald⁴, Peterson, Garry¹, ¹ Center for Limnology, Madison, Wisconsin² Department of Economics, Madison, Wisconsin³ Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, Madison, Wisconsin⁴ Department of Mathematics, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada Measuring and managing ecological thresholds: Lessons from lake eutrophication.

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[UNKNOWN: PRESTIME] Brewer, Carol^*,1, ¹ University of Montana, Missoula, MT Training ecologists to think with uncertainty in mind.

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